BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Michigan St

Class: 1 Class Rank: 30 Conference: Big 10 Record: (11-8) Overall: (19-11) Overall Strength =   35.15

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2022 Home    W    34.13  73  55    1 224 ( 10- 22) Northern Arizona       -1.02     19.02                      
  2 11-11-2022 Neutral L    39.98  63  64    1  11 ( 26-  5) Gonzaga                 4.82     -5.82                      
  3 11-15-2022 Neutral W    45.25  86  77 2  1  23 ( 21- 10) Kentucky               10.09     -1.09                      
  4 11-18-2022 Home    W    30.19  73  71    1  61 ( 16- 15) Villanova              -4.96      6.96                      
  5 11-24-2022 Neutral L    33.14  70  81    1   1 ( 26-  5) Alabama                -2.01     -8.99                      
  6 11-25-2022 Neutral W    38.14  74  70    1  40 ( 18- 13) Oregon                  2.99      1.01                      
  7 11-27-2022 Away    W    27.93  78  77    1 153 ( 14- 19) Portland               -7.22      8.22                      
  8 11-30-2022 Away    L     8.05  52  70    1 163 ( 11- 20) Notre Dame            -27.10      9.10                      
  9 12-04-2022 Home    L *  23.42  63  70    1  41 ( 20- 10) Northwestern          -11.73      4.73                      
 10 12-07-2022 Away    W *  45.41  67  58    1  45 ( 18- 12) Penn St                10.26     -1.26                      
 11 12-10-2022 Home    W    35.79  68  50    1 193 ( 14- 13) Brown                   0.63     17.37                      
 12 12-21-2022 Home    W    25.36  67  54    1 282 ( 13- 19) Oakland                -9.80     22.80                      
 13 12-30-2022 Home    W    38.17  89  68    1 204 ( 15- 16) Buffalo                 3.01     17.99                      
 14 01-03-2023 Home    W *  42.60  74  56    1  93 ( 15- 15) Nebraska                7.45     10.55                      
 15 01-07-2023 Home    W *  36.08  59  53    1  47 ( 17- 13) Michigan                0.92      5.08                      
 16 01-10-2023 Away    W *  38.85  69  65    1  60 ( 16- 13) Wisconsin               3.70      0.30                      
 17 01-13-2023 Away    L *  30.28  66  75    1  31 ( 20- 10) Illinois               -4.88     -4.12                      
 18 01-16-2023 Home    L *  35.38  63  64    1   5 ( 25-  5) Purdue                  0.22     -1.22                      
 19 01-19-2023 Home    W *  45.70  70  57    1  34 ( 18- 12) Rutgers                10.55      2.45                      
 20 01-22-2023 Away    L *  26.88  69  82    1  25 ( 20- 10) Indiana                -8.28     -4.72                      
 21 01-26-2023 Home    W *  34.46  63  61    1  32 ( 19- 11) Iowa                   -0.70      2.70                      
 22 01-29-2023 Away    L *  27.13  61  77    1   5 ( 25-  5) Purdue                 -8.03     -7.97                      
 23 02-04-2023 Neutral L *  30.07  55  61    1  34 ( 18- 12) Rutgers                -5.08     -0.92                      
 24 02-07-2023 Home    W *  37.65  63  58    1  22 ( 20- 10) Maryland                2.50      2.50                      
 25 02-12-2023 Away    W *  57.91  62  41    1  48 ( 13- 18) Ohio St                22.75     -1.75                      
 26 02-18-2023 Away    L *  24.83  72  84    1  47 ( 17- 13) Michigan              -10.33     -1.67                      
 27 02-21-2023 Home    W *  48.13  80  65    1  25 ( 20- 10) Indiana                12.97      2.03                      
 28 02-25-2023 Away    L *  33.21 106 112 1  1  32 ( 19- 11) Iowa                   -1.95     -4.05                      
 29 02-28-2023 Away    W *  44.35  80  67    1  93 ( 15- 15) Nebraska                9.20      3.80                      
 30 03-04-2023 Home    W *  36.16  84  78    1  48 ( 13- 18) Ohio St                 1.00      5.00                      
      Averages              35.15  70.6 67.4

Best game:   57.91 = 21 point win over Ohio St
Worst game:   8.05 = 18 point loss to Notre Dame
Team stdev:   9.38